30 JANUARY 1998. WORLD: CLIMATE (PREDICTIONS)

Stephanie Nebehay of Reuters reports that World Meteorological Office models suggest that ENSO is expected to fade after May, only to be followed by La Nina, a cold weather version of ENSO, with heavy rains possible in Asian countries, just recovering from the recent ENSO drought. However, not all climate models predict La Nina conditions.

Currently the main warm-water mass for ENSO is down to 40% of its November size, but it is still powerful enough to maintain drier conditions over "Indonesia, eastern Australia, northern South America and southern Africa" . Fire remains a threat to Australians and typhoons to South Pacific islands, while the west coast of Latin America should remain moist. In the U.S. California and the south will get more rainfall while the north will remain warmer.